Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.0% vs 49.7%). Look for Kasper on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.1% vs Kasper 49.8% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kasper 51.9%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 51.7%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 54.1%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Cirelli
Kasper
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Cirelli
Kasper
Last 7: Cirelli 3-4 Kasper
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cirelli
Kasper
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Kasper
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kasper
1
3
Cirelli
Kasper
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Kasper
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (613)
51.1% (350)
-0.7%
Power Play
69.9% (83)
33.3% (9)
+36.6%
Penalty Kill
36.5% (208)
31.6% (19)
+4.9%
On power play, Cirelli has a +36.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kasper shoots left. Cirelli is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (603).
Cirelli shoots left. Kasper is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (252).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Kasper
Home
54.2% (395)
51.1% (184)
Away
45.0% (509)
48.5% (194)
By Period
Cirelli
Kasper
P1
50.8%
53.8%
P2
50.0%
52.2%
P3
46.6%
42.6%
OT
33.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
53.4%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.0%
Kasper
52.0%▬
52.5%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 16:22 | Neutral | Marco Kasper |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 13:34 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 13:08 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 10:48 | Neutral | Marco Kasper |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 10:40 | Offensive | Marco Kasper |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marco Kasper |