Scouting Report
Michael Raffl holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Cirelli on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 47.7% vs Raffl 50.2% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Raffl 75.9%
Defensive zone
Raffl 50.1%
Neutral zone
Raffl 66.3%
Result
Michael Raffl favored at 63.0%
37.0%
63.0%
Cirelli
Raffl
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Cirelli
Raffl
Last 5: Cirelli 4-1 Raffl
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Raffl
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
3
1
Cirelli
Raffl
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Raffl
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (676)
49.7% (183)
-1.9%
Power Play
55.2% (87)
50.0% (2)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (151)
58.3% (12)
-16.6%
On penalty kill, Raffl has a +16.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Raffl shoots left. Cirelli is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (536).
Cirelli shoots left. Raffl is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (137).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Raffl
Home
45.4% (469)
52.1% (94)
Away
49.7% (445)
48.5% (103)
By Period
Cirelli
Raffl
P1
46.3%
51.6%
P2
46.3%
47.3%
P3
49.6%
53.4%
OT
46.2%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
42.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
47.5%
Raffl
56.0%▲
50.5%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2020 | 3 | 00:06 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 11, 2020 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 11, 2020 | 2 | 11:58 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 11, 2020 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael Raffl |
| Jan 11, 2020 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |