Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Cirelli on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 52.5% vs Kesler 55.2% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kesler 55.4%
Defensive zone
Kesler 56.4%
Neutral zone
Kesler 57.2%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 56.2%
43.8%
56.2%
Cirelli
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Cirelli
Kesler
Last 6: Cirelli 4-2 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
2
1
Cirelli
Kesler
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Kesler
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Cirelli
Kesler
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (748)
55.7% (741)
-2.9%
Power Play
59.4% (32)
67.0% (100)
-7.6%
Penalty Kill
51.5% (171)
50.0% (204)
+1.5%
On power play, Kesler has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Cirelli is 49.6% vs right-shot opponents (369).
Cirelli shoots left. Kesler is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (731).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Kesler
Home
54.5% (466)
52.5% (522)
Away
51.1% (485)
58.9% (523)
By Period
Cirelli
Kesler
P1
48.6%
56.7%
P2
54.8%
56.8%
P3
55.8%
54.1%
OT
41.2%
16.7%
Final 5 min
55.4%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
52.8%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2018 | 1 | 14:12 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 1 | 10:34 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 3 | 12:12 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 3 | 05:39 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 1 | 09:12 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |