Scouting Report
T.J. Oshie holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Oshie on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Cirelli wins 45.0% vs right-shot opponents — Oshie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 47.7% vs Oshie 50.0% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Oshie 67.9%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 83.4%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 55.3%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 54.1%
54.1%
45.9%
Cirelli
Oshie
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Cirelli
Oshie
Last 7: Cirelli 2-5 Oshie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Oshie
0
4
Cirelli
Oshie
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
2
1
Cirelli
Oshie
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Oshie
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (676)
51.7% (58)
-3.9%
Power Play
55.2% (87)
49.1% (169)
+6.1%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (151)
54.5% (11)
-12.8%
On penalty kill, Oshie has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Oshie shoots right. Cirelli is 45.0% vs right-shot opponents (378).
Cirelli shoots left. Oshie is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (201).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Oshie
Home
45.4% (469)
51.3% (113)
Away
49.7% (445)
48.8% (125)
By Period
Cirelli
Oshie
P1
46.3%
53.8%
P2
46.3%
47.5%
P3
49.6%
51.2%
OT
46.2%
28.6%
Final 5 min
49.6%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
47.5%
Oshie
32.0%▼
43.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2019 | 3 | 18:10 | Defensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 3 | 04:29 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 1 | 17:21 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 1 | 17:16 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 1 | 04:26 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 3 | 09:46 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 2 | 04:51 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |