Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roussel 51.6% vs Gaustad 57.9% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roussel 84.2%
Defensive zone
Roussel 50.2%
Neutral zone
Roussel 67.0%
Result
Antoine Roussel favored at 56.9%
56.9%
43.1%
Roussel
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Roussel
Gaustad
Last 5: Roussel 1-4 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
3
Roussel
Gaustad
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Roussel
Gaustad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roussel
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
58.3% (48)
59.8% (353)
-1.5%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
66.7% (15)
-16.7%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
58.0% (81)
-38.0%
On penalty kill, Gaustad has a +38.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Roussel is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (42).
Roussel shoots left. Gaustad is 61.2% vs left-shot opponents (309).
Home / Away
Roussel
Gaustad
Home
56.1% (41)
62.1% (195)
Away
50.0% (14)
57.9% (254)
By Period
Roussel
Gaustad
P1
66.7%
59.4%
P2
63.6%
58.1%
P3
26.7%
61.3%
Final 5 min
41.7%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roussel
46.0%▬
45.0%
54.5%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
59.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2013 | 2 | 06:49 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Antoine Roussel |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 1 | 13:30 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 1 | 00:14 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |