Scouting Report
Antoine Vermette holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Jenner on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Vermette wins 56.0% vs left-shot opponents — Jenner shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vermette 55.4% vs Jenner 52.3% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Vermette 50.2%
Defensive zone
Vermette 65.8%
Neutral zone
Vermette 61.9%
Result
Antoine Vermette favored at 64.2%
64.2%
35.8%
Vermette
Jenner
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Vermette
Jenner
Last 5: Vermette 3-2 Jenner
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
1
2
Vermette
Jenner
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Vermette
2
0
Vermette
Jenner
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vermette
Jenner
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (1,001)
53.8% (234)
+0.3%
Power Play
62.9% (256)
49.1% (53)
+13.8%
Penalty Kill
54.3% (94)
57.1% (7)
-2.8%
On power play, Vermette has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jenner shoots left. Vermette is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (860).
Vermette shoots left. Jenner is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (174).
Home / Away
Vermette
Jenner
Home
55.9% (690)
55.1% (127)
Away
55.7% (661)
51.5% (167)
By Period
Vermette
Jenner
P1
51.8%
46.2%
P2
55.0%
51.0%
P3
60.3%
61.2%
Final 5 min
56.6%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vermette
58.0%▼
62.0%
55.8%
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2015 | 2 | 12:21 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 1 | 15:48 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 1 | 08:28 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 14, 2015 | 1 | 12:50 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 14, 2015 | 1 | 07:13 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |