Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.6% vs 56.8%). Look for Vermette on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Vermette wins 57.3% vs right-shot opponents — Gordon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vermette 56.0% vs Gordon 56.3% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Vermette 77.5%
Defensive zone
Gordon 75.3%
Neutral zone
Vermette 51.1%
Result
Antoine Vermette favored at 59.9%
59.9%
40.1%
Vermette
Gordon
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Vermette
Gordon
Last 9: Vermette 7-2 Gordon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Vermette
3
1
Vermette
Gordon
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Vermette
1
0
Vermette
Gordon
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Vermette
3
1
Vermette
Gordon
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vermette
Gordon
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (857)
56.9% (854)
+0.6%
Power Play
57.6% (177)
66.7% (21)
-9.1%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (95)
56.6% (290)
-13.4%
On penalty kill, Gordon has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gordon shoots right. Vermette is 57.3% vs right-shot opponents (347).
Vermette shoots left. Gordon is 56.9% vs left-shot opponents (840).
Home / Away
Vermette
Gordon
Home
58.7% (547)
55.6% (595)
Away
54.6% (593)
58.1% (582)
By Period
Vermette
Gordon
P1
58.6%
57.5%
P2
58.7%
59.8%
P3
52.7%
53.9%
OT
57.1%
36.4%
Final 5 min
53.5%
58.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vermette
58.0%▼
62.0%
56.6%
Gordon
66.0%▲
58.0%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2012 | 3 | 11:18 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Jan 13, 2012 | 3 | 11:12 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Jan 13, 2012 | 3 | 07:42 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Jan 13, 2012 | 2 | 14:25 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Jan 13, 2012 | 2 | 09:56 | Offensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Jan 13, 2012 | 1 | 11:15 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Jan 13, 2012 | 1 | 07:48 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Jan 13, 2012 | 1 | 05:02 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Jan 13, 2012 | 1 | 01:49 | Neutral | Boyd Gordon |