Scouting Report
Antoine Vermette holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Vermette on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Vermette wins 58.9% vs right-shot opponents — Boyes shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vermette 57.1% vs Boyes 47.9% (+9.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boyes 52.5%
Defensive zone
Vermette 87.6%
Neutral zone
Vermette 83.1%
Result
Antoine Vermette favored at 68.8%
68.8%
31.2%
Vermette
Boyes
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Vermette
Boyes
Last 9: Vermette 6-3 Boyes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Vermette
Boyes
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Vermette
2
1
Vermette
Boyes
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Vermette
2
0
Vermette
Boyes
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vermette
Boyes
Edge
Even Strength
56.9% (7,621)
46.0% (692)
+10.9%
Power Play
59.8% (1,575)
56.5% (147)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
55.1% (1,217)
33.3% (15)
+21.8%
On penalty kill, Vermette has a +21.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boyes shoots right. Vermette is 58.9% vs right-shot opponents (3,782).
Vermette shoots left. Boyes is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (574).
Home / Away
Vermette
Boyes
Home
58.3% (5,008)
49.9% (419)
Away
56.1% (5,432)
45.5% (440)
By Period
Vermette
Boyes
P1
56.9%
50.4%
P2
58.4%
46.4%
P3
56.2%
44.8%
OT
55.4%
87.5%
Final 5 min
56.8%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vermette
58.0%▼
62.0%
57.2%
Boyes
60.0%▲
57.0%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2014 | 2 | 03:38 | Offensive | Brad Boyes |
| Oct 30, 2014 | 1 | 09:45 | Offensive | Brad Boyes |
| Apr 9, 2011 | 3 | 18:48 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Apr 9, 2011 | 2 | 01:43 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Apr 9, 2011 | 1 | 05:14 | Defensive | Brad Boyes |
| Jan 22, 2011 | 3 | 15:03 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Jan 22, 2011 | 3 | 06:45 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Jan 22, 2011 | 2 | 19:16 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Nov 10, 2010 | 2 | 08:38 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |