Antoine Vermette vs Brett Connolly
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Antoine Vermette holds a +16.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Connolly on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Vermette wins 58.9% vs right-shot opponents — Connolly shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vermette 57.1% vs Connolly 43.2% (+16.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Connolly 75.5%
Defensive zone
Vermette 74.9%
Neutral zone
Connolly 57.7%
Result
Antoine Vermette favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
Vermette
Connolly
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Vermette
Connolly
Last 7: Vermette 3-4 Connolly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Vermette
1
0
Vermette
Connolly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Connolly
0
3
Vermette
Connolly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Vermette
2
1
Vermette
Connolly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vermette
Connolly
Edge
Even Strength
56.9% (7,621)
40.2% (229)
+16.7%
Power Play
59.8% (1,575)
43.1% (58)
+16.7%
Penalty Kill
55.1% (1,217)
50.0% (2)
+5.1%
On even strength, Vermette has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Connolly shoots right. Vermette is 58.9% vs right-shot opponents (3,782).
Vermette shoots left. Connolly is 38.9% vs left-shot opponents (208).
Home / Away
Vermette
Connolly
Home
58.3% (5,008)
42.6% (129)
Away
56.1% (5,432)
39.4% (160)
By Period
Vermette
Connolly
P1
56.9%
41.8%
P2
58.4%
40.0%
P3
56.2%
40.6%
Final 5 min
56.8%
43.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vermette
58.0%▼
62.0%
57.2%
Connolly
30.0%▼
38.5%
40.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2013 | 3 | 15:10 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Nov 16, 2013 | 3 | 09:46 | Defensive | Brett Connolly |
| Nov 16, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brett Connolly |
| Nov 16, 2013 | 2 | 11:06 | Defensive | Brett Connolly |
| Nov 16, 2013 | 1 | 13:06 | Defensive | Brett Connolly |
| Nov 16, 2013 | 1 | 07:59 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Nov 16, 2013 | 1 | 07:50 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |