Scouting Report
Antoine Vermette holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Vermette on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Vermette wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Kelly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vermette 55.0% vs Kelly 48.8% (+6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Vermette 87.9%
Defensive zone
Vermette 59.2%
Neutral zone
Vermette 77.6%
Result
Antoine Vermette favored at 79.7%
79.7%
20.3%
Vermette
Kelly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Vermette
Kelly
Last 6: Vermette 4-2 Kelly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Vermette
3
0
Vermette
Kelly
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
0
1
Vermette
Kelly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Vermette
Kelly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vermette
Kelly
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (1,139)
49.7% (433)
+5.0%
Power Play
60.2% (251)
28.6% (7)
+31.6%
Penalty Kill
52.4% (187)
45.5% (99)
+6.9%
On power play, Vermette has a +31.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kelly shoots left. Vermette is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (934).
Vermette shoots left. Kelly is 41.3% vs left-shot opponents (329).
Home / Away
Vermette
Kelly
Home
56.8% (694)
53.9% (297)
Away
54.1% (883)
42.1% (242)
By Period
Vermette
Kelly
P1
52.5%
45.4%
P2
56.8%
46.1%
P3
56.7%
54.3%
OT
55.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.5%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vermette
58.0%▼
62.0%
55.3%
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2015 | 3 | 19:30 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 28, 2015 | 1 | 11:34 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 3 | 16:04 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 3 | 12:26 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 3 | 06:41 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 1 | 14:33 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |