Scouting Report
Antoine Vermette holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Helm on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Vermette wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Helm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vermette 56.0% vs Helm 51.7% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Helm 77.5%
Defensive zone
Helm 83.6%
Neutral zone
Helm 79.1%
Result
Darren Helm favored at 80.4%
19.6%
80.4%
Vermette
Helm
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Vermette
Helm
Last 8: Vermette 2-6 Helm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Helm
0
2
Vermette
Helm
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Helm
1
2
Vermette
Helm
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Helm
1
2
Vermette
Helm
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vermette
Helm
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (857)
51.4% (607)
+6.1%
Power Play
57.6% (177)
42.3% (26)
+15.3%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (95)
55.1% (136)
-11.9%
On power play, Vermette has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Helm shoots left. Vermette is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (793).
Vermette shoots left. Helm is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (540).
Home / Away
Vermette
Helm
Home
58.7% (547)
52.8% (371)
Away
54.6% (593)
51.0% (406)
By Period
Vermette
Helm
P1
58.6%
50.4%
P2
58.7%
54.7%
P3
52.7%
50.6%
OT
57.1%
33.3%
Final 5 min
53.5%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vermette
58.0%▼
62.0%
56.6%
Helm
34.0%▼
44.5%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2011 | 3 | 05:40 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Oct 25, 2011 | 2 | 15:52 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Oct 25, 2011 | 2 | 12:32 | Offensive | Darren Helm |
| Oct 21, 2011 | 3 | 11:54 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Oct 21, 2011 | 2 | 12:54 | Offensive | Darren Helm |
| Oct 21, 2011 | 2 | 12:45 | Neutral | Darren Helm |
| Oct 21, 2011 | 1 | 15:18 | Neutral | Darren Helm |
| Oct 21, 2011 | 1 | 09:03 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |