Scouting Report
Antoine Vermette holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Vermette on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 20 meetings). Vermette wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Roy shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vermette 57.1% vs Roy 47.4% (+9.8%)
H2H factor
Vermette leads 31-29 in 60 meetings
Offensive zone
Vermette 58.9%
Defensive zone
Vermette 72.9%
Neutral zone
Vermette 70.4%
Result
Antoine Vermette favored at 67.2%
67.2%
32.8%
Vermette
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
31
-
29
(60 meetings)
31
29
Vermette
Roy
Last 10: Vermette 5-5 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
8
13
Vermette
Roy
21 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
8
11
Vermette
Roy
19 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Vermette
15
5
Vermette
Roy
20 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vermette
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
56.9% (7,621)
46.4% (3,031)
+10.5%
Power Play
59.8% (1,575)
53.6% (560)
+6.2%
Penalty Kill
55.1% (1,217)
46.8% (267)
+8.3%
On even strength, Vermette has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots left. Vermette is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (6,658).
Vermette shoots left. Roy is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,462).
Home / Away
Vermette
Roy
Home
58.3% (5,008)
49.5% (1,982)
Away
56.1% (5,432)
45.1% (1,897)
By Period
Vermette
Roy
P1
56.9%
47.6%
P2
58.4%
46.2%
P3
56.2%
48.5%
OT
55.4%
43.1%
Final 5 min
56.8%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vermette
58.0%▼
62.0%
57.2%
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2015 | OT | 04:27 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Mar 6, 2015 | OT | 02:50 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Mar 6, 2015 | 3 | 06:38 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Mar 6, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Mar 6, 2015 | 2 | 19:28 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Mar 6, 2015 | 2 | 07:20 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Mar 6, 2015 | 2 | 07:18 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Mar 6, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Mar 6, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Dec 11, 2014 | 3 | 17:09 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Dec 11, 2014 | 3 | 07:20 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Dec 11, 2014 | 2 | 14:49 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Dec 11, 2014 | 2 | 07:58 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Dec 11, 2014 | 1 | 11:06 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Oct 21, 2014 | 3 | 03:39 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Oct 21, 2014 | 1 | 16:35 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Oct 21, 2014 | 1 | 10:37 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Mar 2, 2014 | 2 | 11:59 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Mar 2, 2014 | 2 | 00:35 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Mar 2, 2014 | 1 | 03:07 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |