Scouting Report
Antoine Vermette holds a +11.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Vermette wins 55.8% vs left-shot opponents — Roy shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vermette 56.7% vs Roy 46.2% (+11.8%)
H2H factor
Roy leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Roy 69.9%
Defensive zone
Roy 70.8%
Neutral zone
Roy 76.0%
Result
Derek Roy favored at 70.8%
29.2%
70.8%
Vermette
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Vermette
Roy
Last 10: Vermette 4-6 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Vermette
Roy
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
5
Vermette
Roy
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Vermette
1
0
Vermette
Roy
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vermette
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
55.0% (624)
45.3% (506)
+9.7%
Power Play
68.4% (133)
57.4% (68)
+11.0%
Penalty Kill
58.5% (82)
37.0% (73)
+21.5%
On penalty kill, Vermette has a +21.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots left. Vermette is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (545).
Vermette shoots left. Roy is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (439).
Home / Away
Vermette
Roy
Home
58.8% (420)
44.9% (354)
Away
56.1% (419)
46.4% (293)
By Period
Vermette
Roy
P1
59.9%
47.0%
P2
56.4%
47.2%
P3
56.6%
42.5%
OT
52.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
60.9%
41.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vermette
58.0%▼
62.0%
57.4%
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
45.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2013 | 3 | 18:38 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Apr 8, 2013 | 2 | 00:55 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 3 | 03:09 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 2 | 14:56 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 2 | 06:11 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 1 | 08:06 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 3 | 07:14 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 2 | 18:38 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 2 | 07:49 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 2 | 03:13 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 1 | 09:07 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 1 | 09:03 | Offensive | Derek Roy |