Scouting Report
Antoine Vermette holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Vermette on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Vermette wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Roy shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vermette 56.0% vs Roy 47.5% (+9.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Vermette 60.7%
Defensive zone
Vermette 96.0%
Neutral zone
Vermette 90.0%
Result
Antoine Vermette favored at 84.9%
84.9%
15.1%
Vermette
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
1
(8 meetings)
7
1
Vermette
Roy
Last 8: Vermette 7-1 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Vermette
Roy
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Vermette
3
0
Vermette
Roy
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Vermette
3
0
Vermette
Roy
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vermette
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
56.7% (1,246)
43.0% (351)
+13.7%
Power Play
55.9% (261)
61.3% (106)
-5.4%
Penalty Kill
55.4% (276)
33.3% (9)
+22.1%
On penalty kill, Vermette has a +22.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots left. Vermette is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,100).
Vermette shoots left. Roy is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (306).
Home / Away
Vermette
Roy
Home
56.8% (842)
52.3% (241)
Away
56.0% (941)
41.3% (225)
By Period
Vermette
Roy
P1
58.0%
51.6%
P2
57.9%
46.4%
P3
53.5%
43.1%
OT
58.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
53.6%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vermette
58.0%▼
62.0%
56.4%
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2014 | 2 | 11:59 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Mar 2, 2014 | 2 | 00:35 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Mar 2, 2014 | 1 | 03:07 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Mar 2, 2014 | 1 | 02:56 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Mar 2, 2014 | 1 | 01:14 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Jan 14, 2014 | 3 | 16:32 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Jan 14, 2014 | 2 | 17:05 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Jan 14, 2014 | 2 | 11:51 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |