Scouting Report
Antoine Vermette holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Vermette wins 58.9% vs right-shot opponents — Ryan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vermette 57.1% vs Ryan 55.2% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ryan 62.3%
Defensive zone
Ryan 67.9%
Neutral zone
Ryan 67.4%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 63.4%
36.6%
63.4%
Vermette
Ryan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Vermette
Ryan
Last 9: Vermette 2-7 Ryan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
6
Vermette
Ryan
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Vermette
Ryan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vermette
Ryan
Edge
Even Strength
56.9% (7,621)
56.6% (4,102)
+0.3%
Power Play
59.8% (1,575)
53.2% (342)
+6.6%
Penalty Kill
55.1% (1,217)
47.8% (649)
+7.3%
On penalty kill, Vermette has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ryan shoots right. Vermette is 58.9% vs right-shot opponents (3,782).
Vermette shoots left. Ryan is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,676).
Home / Away
Vermette
Ryan
Home
58.3% (5,008)
56.2% (2,559)
Away
56.1% (5,432)
54.4% (2,534)
By Period
Vermette
Ryan
P1
56.9%
55.1%
P2
58.4%
54.7%
P3
56.2%
56.0%
OT
55.4%
58.3%
Final 5 min
56.8%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vermette
58.0%▼
62.0%
57.2%
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2017 | 3 | 11:52 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 11, 2017 | 2 | 19:58 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 11, 2017 | 2 | 19:48 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Dec 11, 2017 | 1 | 13:14 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 11, 2017 | 1 | 09:30 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 29, 2017 | 3 | 14:48 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 29, 2017 | 1 | 10:19 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 7, 2016 | 1 | 14:57 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Dec 7, 2016 | 1 | 03:07 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |