Scouting Report
Antoine Vermette holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Vermette wins 60.0% vs right-shot opponents — Ryan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vermette 59.1% vs Ryan 55.9% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ryan 85.6%
Defensive zone
Vermette 52.1%
Neutral zone
Ryan 69.5%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 81.0%
19.0%
81.0%
Vermette
Ryan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Vermette
Ryan
Last 7: Vermette 1-6 Ryan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
0
5
Vermette
Ryan
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Vermette
Ryan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vermette
Ryan
Edge
Even Strength
60.5% (767)
56.5% (816)
+4.0%
Power Play
61.9% (84)
55.2% (105)
+6.7%
Penalty Kill
56.7% (164)
63.2% (19)
-6.5%
On power play, Vermette has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ryan shoots right. Vermette is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (400).
Vermette shoots left. Ryan is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (642).
Home / Away
Vermette
Ryan
Home
63.0% (481)
56.7% (466)
Away
57.3% (534)
56.3% (474)
By Period
Vermette
Ryan
P1
61.6%
55.4%
P2
60.4%
58.1%
P3
58.9%
55.8%
OT
46.2%
66.7%
Final 5 min
63.1%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vermette
58.0%▼
62.0%
60.0%
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
56.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2017 | 3 | 11:52 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 11, 2017 | 2 | 19:58 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 11, 2017 | 2 | 19:48 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Dec 11, 2017 | 1 | 13:14 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 11, 2017 | 1 | 09:30 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 29, 2017 | 3 | 14:48 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 29, 2017 | 1 | 10:19 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |