Scouting Report
Antoine Vermette holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Vermette on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Vermette wins 58.6% vs right-shot opponents — Stepan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vermette 56.0% vs Stepan 45.5% (+11.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Vermette 75.1%
Defensive zone
Vermette 94.5%
Neutral zone
Vermette 91.8%
Result
Antoine Vermette favored at 94.5%
94.5%
5.5%
Vermette
Stepan
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
0
(7 meetings)
7
0
Vermette
Stepan
Last 7: Vermette 7-0 Stepan
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Vermette
7
0
Vermette
Stepan
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vermette
Stepan
Edge
Even Strength
56.7% (1,246)
43.8% (1,141)
+12.9%
Power Play
55.9% (261)
52.2% (253)
+3.7%
Penalty Kill
55.4% (276)
43.2% (118)
+12.2%
On even strength, Vermette has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stepan shoots right. Vermette is 58.6% vs right-shot opponents (683).
Vermette shoots left. Stepan is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,028).
Home / Away
Vermette
Stepan
Home
56.8% (842)
47.8% (828)
Away
56.0% (941)
42.0% (684)
By Period
Vermette
Stepan
P1
58.0%
49.5%
P2
57.9%
42.0%
P3
53.5%
44.3%
OT
58.7%
41.2%
Final 5 min
53.6%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vermette
58.0%▼
62.0%
56.4%
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2014 | 2 | 16:08 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Mar 24, 2014 | 1 | 12:09 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Mar 24, 2014 | 1 | 08:59 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Mar 24, 2014 | 1 | 08:57 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Mar 24, 2014 | 1 | 08:55 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Mar 24, 2014 | 1 | 06:14 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Oct 3, 2013 | 1 | 16:33 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |