Antoine Vermette vs Drake Caggiula
2016-17 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Antoine Vermette holds a +21.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Vermette on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Vermette wins 61.2% vs left-shot opponents — Caggiula shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vermette 61.3% vs Caggiula 43.5% (+21.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Vermette 93.0%
Defensive zone
Vermette 96.5%
Neutral zone
Vermette 94.2%
Result
Antoine Vermette favored at 94.3%
94.3%
5.7%
Vermette
Caggiula
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Vermette
Caggiula
Last 9: Vermette 7-2 Caggiula
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Vermette
2
1
Vermette
Caggiula
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Vermette
2
0
Vermette
Caggiula
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Vermette
3
1
Vermette
Caggiula
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vermette
Caggiula
Edge
Even Strength
62.4% (880)
40.6% (276)
+21.8%
Power Play
63.0% (135)
66.7% (6)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
61.1% (180)
50.0% (2)
+11.1%
On even strength, Vermette has a +21.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Caggiula shoots left. Vermette is 61.2% vs left-shot opponents (753).
Vermette shoots left. Caggiula is 41.3% vs left-shot opponents (172).
Home / Away
Vermette
Caggiula
Home
63.4% (585)
46.9% (145)
Away
61.1% (610)
35.3% (139)
By Period
Vermette
Caggiula
P1
62.5%
41.1%
P2
63.4%
40.2%
P3
60.9%
43.0%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
61.9%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vermette
58.0%▼
62.0%
62.3%
Caggiula
38.0%▲
36.5%
41.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2017 | 2 | 16:31 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Jan 25, 2017 | 3 | 13:51 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Jan 25, 2017 | 2 | 17:00 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Jan 25, 2017 | 2 | 09:57 | Offensive | Drake Caggiula |
| Jan 25, 2017 | 2 | 06:11 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Jan 25, 2017 | 2 | 05:57 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Jan 25, 2017 | 2 | 03:13 | Neutral | Drake Caggiula |
| Jan 25, 2017 | 1 | 04:06 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Dec 3, 2016 | 2 | 01:46 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |