Scouting Report
Antoine Vermette holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Vermette on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Vermette wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Dowell shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vermette 55.2% vs Dowell 49.1% (+6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Vermette 90.3%
Defensive zone
Vermette 61.3%
Neutral zone
Vermette 82.3%
Result
Antoine Vermette favored at 86.9%
86.9%
13.1%
Vermette
Dowell
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Vermette
Dowell
Last 7: Vermette 5-2 Dowell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Vermette
4
0
Vermette
Dowell
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowell
1
2
Vermette
Dowell
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vermette
Dowell
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (1,107)
49.9% (573)
+5.7%
Power Play
55.4% (278)
33.3% (12)
+22.1%
Penalty Kill
55.4% (139)
43.8% (64)
+11.6%
On power play, Vermette has a +22.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowell shoots left. Vermette is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,058).
Vermette shoots left. Dowell is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (476).
Home / Away
Vermette
Dowell
Home
55.8% (749)
52.5% (303)
Away
55.4% (791)
45.8% (349)
By Period
Vermette
Dowell
P1
54.9%
49.5%
P2
59.2%
47.0%
P3
52.5%
50.7%
OT
55.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
53.5%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vermette
58.0%▼
62.0%
55.6%
Dowell
38.0%▼
47.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2011 | 2 | 04:30 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Feb 18, 2011 | 2 | 09:30 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Feb 1, 2011 | 3 | 19:24 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Feb 1, 2011 | 3 | 07:44 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Feb 1, 2011 | 1 | 11:16 | Neutral | Jake Dowell |
| Oct 15, 2010 | 2 | 06:37 | Neutral | Jake Dowell |
| Oct 15, 2010 | 2 | 02:18 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |