Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.6% vs 56.1%). Look for Mayers on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Vermette wins 57.3% vs right-shot opponents — Mayers shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vermette 56.0% vs Mayers 55.2% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Vermette 58.3%
Defensive zone
Mayers 60.9%
Neutral zone
Vermette 50.6%
Result
Antoine Vermette favored at 53.2%
53.2%
46.8%
Vermette
Mayers
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Vermette
Mayers
Last 6: Vermette 3-3 Mayers
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Vermette
2
0
Vermette
Mayers
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mayers
1
3
Vermette
Mayers
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vermette
Mayers
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (857)
57.3% (459)
+0.2%
Power Play
57.6% (177)
46.4% (28)
+11.2%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (95)
52.9% (70)
-9.7%
On power play, Vermette has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mayers shoots right. Vermette is 57.3% vs right-shot opponents (347).
Vermette shoots left. Mayers is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (412).
Home / Away
Vermette
Mayers
Home
58.7% (547)
61.6% (263)
Away
54.6% (593)
51.2% (295)
By Period
Vermette
Mayers
P1
58.6%
56.1%
P2
58.7%
55.7%
P3
52.7%
56.2%
OT
57.1%
100.0%
Final 5 min
53.5%
58.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vermette
58.0%▼
62.0%
56.6%
Mayers
52.0%▼
61.0%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2012 | 2 | 15:30 | Neutral | Jamal Mayers |
| Feb 18, 2012 | 1 | 06:20 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Dec 26, 2011 | 3 | 19:14 | Neutral | Jamal Mayers |
| Dec 26, 2011 | 1 | 11:54 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Nov 10, 2011 | 1 | 02:25 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 1 | 18:21 | Neutral | Jamal Mayers |