Scouting Report
Antoine Vermette holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on offensive-zone draws (69% H2H, 13 meetings). Vermette wins 55.4% vs right-shot opponents — Spezza shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vermette 55.4% vs Spezza 54.4% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Spezza leads 14-7 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Spezza 63.8%
Defensive zone
Spezza 54.6%
Neutral zone
Spezza 66.9%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 62.6%
37.4%
62.6%
Vermette
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
14
(21 meetings)
7
14
Vermette
Spezza
Last 10: Vermette 3-7 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
4
9
Vermette
Spezza
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
1
3
Vermette
Spezza
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Vermette
Spezza
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vermette
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (1,001)
53.2% (763)
+0.9%
Power Play
62.9% (256)
60.9% (197)
+2.0%
Penalty Kill
54.3% (94)
57.1% (21)
-2.8%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Vermette is 55.4% vs right-shot opponents (491).
Vermette shoots left. Spezza is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (675).
Home / Away
Vermette
Spezza
Home
55.9% (690)
57.5% (518)
Away
55.7% (661)
51.8% (463)
By Period
Vermette
Spezza
P1
51.8%
55.4%
P2
55.0%
54.1%
P3
60.3%
55.5%
OT
60.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
56.6%
59.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vermette
58.0%▼
62.0%
55.8%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2016 | 3 | 18:14 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 31, 2016 | 3 | 09:51 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Mar 31, 2016 | 2 | 17:53 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 31, 2016 | 2 | 17:38 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 31, 2016 | 2 | 11:23 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 31, 2016 | 1 | 13:30 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Mar 31, 2016 | 1 | 13:17 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 24, 2016 | 3 | 08:14 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Mar 24, 2016 | 1 | 17:27 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 18, 2016 | 3 | 14:34 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 18, 2016 | 3 | 13:16 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 18, 2016 | 3 | 10:44 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Feb 18, 2016 | 3 | 05:42 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 18, 2016 | 3 | 00:39 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 18, 2016 | 2 | 14:05 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Feb 18, 2016 | 2 | 07:49 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 18, 2016 | 1 | 15:23 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Feb 18, 2016 | 1 | 10:34 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 18, 2016 | 1 | 08:20 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 18, 2016 | 1 | 08:07 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |