Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Vermette wins 56.1% vs right-shot opponents — Beagle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vermette 55.0% vs Beagle 55.2% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Vermette 70.8%
Defensive zone
Beagle 62.5%
Neutral zone
Vermette 53.3%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Vermette
Beagle
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Vermette
Beagle
Last 7: Vermette 4-3 Beagle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Vermette
2
0
Vermette
Beagle
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Vermette
Beagle
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beagle
0
1
Vermette
Beagle
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vermette
Beagle
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (1,139)
58.1% (284)
-3.4%
Power Play
60.2% (251)
33.3% (3)
+26.9%
Penalty Kill
52.4% (187)
52.6% (97)
-0.2%
On power play, Vermette has a +26.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beagle shoots right. Vermette is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (643).
Vermette shoots left. Beagle is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (252).
Home / Away
Vermette
Beagle
Home
56.8% (694)
57.9% (183)
Away
54.1% (883)
55.2% (201)
By Period
Vermette
Beagle
P1
52.5%
54.7%
P2
56.8%
62.1%
P3
56.7%
50.9%
OT
55.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.5%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vermette
58.0%▼
62.0%
55.3%
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2014 | 3 | 01:08 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Nov 18, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 18, 2014 | 1 | 03:46 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Nov 2, 2014 | 3 | 12:47 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 2, 2014 | 2 | 19:34 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Nov 2, 2014 | 1 | 12:37 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Nov 2, 2014 | 1 | 06:36 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |