Scouting Report
Antoine Vermette holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Vermette on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Vermette wins 60.5% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vermette 56.7% vs Carter 52.1% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Vermette leads 10-6 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Vermette 60.8%
Defensive zone
Vermette 78.1%
Neutral zone
Vermette 74.3%
Result
Antoine Vermette favored at 72.6%
72.6%
27.4%
Vermette
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
6
(16 meetings)
10
6
Vermette
Carter
Last 10: Vermette 5-5 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Vermette
3
1
Vermette
Carter
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Vermette
4
3
Vermette
Carter
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Vermette
3
2
Vermette
Carter
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vermette
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
55.0% (624)
52.9% (289)
+2.1%
Power Play
68.4% (133)
56.5% (69)
+11.9%
Penalty Kill
58.5% (82)
38.5% (26)
+20.0%
On penalty kill, Vermette has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Vermette is 60.5% vs right-shot opponents (294).
Vermette shoots left. Carter is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (302).
Home / Away
Vermette
Carter
Home
58.8% (420)
56.4% (181)
Away
56.1% (419)
49.3% (203)
By Period
Vermette
Carter
P1
59.9%
56.6%
P2
56.4%
54.0%
P3
56.6%
47.2%
OT
52.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
60.9%
56.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vermette
58.0%▼
62.0%
57.4%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2013 | 3 | 13:48 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 2, 2013 | 2 | 18:33 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 2, 2013 | 1 | 12:43 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Apr 2, 2013 | 1 | 06:44 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Mar 19, 2013 | 2 | 19:50 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Mar 19, 2013 | 2 | 05:59 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Mar 19, 2013 | 1 | 19:41 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 18, 2013 | 2 | 17:08 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 18, 2013 | 2 | 10:58 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 18, 2013 | 2 | 02:55 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Mar 18, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Mar 18, 2013 | 1 | 02:53 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 3 | 07:03 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 3 | 05:01 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Jan 26, 2013 | 2 | 07:47 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Jan 26, 2013 | 1 | 02:32 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |