Scouting Report
Antoine Vermette holds a +23.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Vermette on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Vermette wins 61.2% vs left-shot opponents — Colborne shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vermette 61.3% vs Colborne 43.8% (+23.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Vermette 81.8%
Defensive zone
Vermette 91.0%
Neutral zone
Vermette 83.4%
Result
Antoine Vermette favored at 85.4%
85.4%
14.6%
Vermette
Colborne
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Vermette
Colborne
Last 8: Vermette 5-3 Colborne
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Vermette
4
0
Vermette
Colborne
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Colborne
1
2
Vermette
Colborne
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Colborne
0
1
Vermette
Colborne
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vermette
Colborne
Edge
Even Strength
62.4% (880)
31.5% (92)
+30.9%
Power Play
63.0% (135)
64.7% (17)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
61.1% (180)
62.5% (8)
-1.4%
On even strength, Vermette has a +30.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colborne shoots left. Vermette is 61.2% vs left-shot opponents (753).
Vermette shoots left. Colborne is 38.9% vs left-shot opponents (72).
Home / Away
Vermette
Colborne
Home
63.4% (585)
52.6% (38)
Away
61.1% (610)
31.6% (79)
By Period
Vermette
Colborne
P1
62.5%
41.9%
P2
63.4%
36.6%
P3
60.9%
36.4%
Final 5 min
61.9%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vermette
58.0%▼
62.0%
62.3%
Colborne
34.0%▼
44.0%
38.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2017 | 3 | 06:10 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 3 | 06:03 | Defensive | Joe Colborne |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 2 | 10:44 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 2 | 07:20 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 2 | 07:12 | Defensive | Joe Colborne |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 2 | 01:25 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 1 | 03:27 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 1 | 00:57 | Neutral | Joe Colborne |