Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.6% vs 56.1%). Look for Vermette on neutral-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Vermette wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Thornton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vermette 56.0% vs Thornton 55.5% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Vermette leads 14-5 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Vermette 64.2%
Defensive zone
Vermette 63.2%
Neutral zone
Vermette 67.6%
Result
Antoine Vermette favored at 65.3%
65.3%
34.7%
Vermette
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
5
(19 meetings)
14
5
Vermette
Thornton
Last 10: Vermette 8-2 Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Vermette
5
4
Vermette
Thornton
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Vermette
3
0
Vermette
Thornton
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Vermette
6
1
Vermette
Thornton
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vermette
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (857)
55.8% (704)
+1.7%
Power Play
57.6% (177)
56.7% (208)
+0.9%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (95)
56.7% (67)
-13.5%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Vermette is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (793).
Vermette shoots left. Thornton is 57.5% vs left-shot opponents (605).
Home / Away
Vermette
Thornton
Home
58.7% (547)
59.0% (493)
Away
54.6% (593)
53.2% (500)
By Period
Vermette
Thornton
P1
58.6%
55.3%
P2
58.7%
55.4%
P3
52.7%
57.1%
OT
57.1%
59.3%
Final 5 min
53.5%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vermette
58.0%▼
62.0%
56.6%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2012 | 3 | 16:36 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Mar 29, 2012 | 1 | 13:28 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Mar 24, 2012 | 1 | 17:45 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 24, 2012 | 1 | 17:28 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 2 | 13:58 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 2 | 10:16 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 2 | 05:09 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 1 | 14:07 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Jan 31, 2012 | 3 | 10:31 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Jan 31, 2012 | 3 | 09:59 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Jan 31, 2012 | 2 | 12:46 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Jan 31, 2012 | 2 | 03:48 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 31, 2012 | 1 | 15:41 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Jan 31, 2012 | 1 | 11:41 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Jan 31, 2012 | 1 | 09:43 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Jan 31, 2012 | 1 | 06:51 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 14, 2012 | 3 | 06:25 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Jan 14, 2012 | 3 | 06:17 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Jan 14, 2012 | 1 | 06:41 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |