Scouting Report
Antoine Vermette holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Vermette on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Vermette wins 56.0% vs left-shot opponents — Thornton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vermette 55.4% vs Thornton 52.6% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Vermette leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Vermette 66.9%
Defensive zone
Vermette 82.4%
Neutral zone
Vermette 71.9%
Result
Antoine Vermette favored at 75.2%
75.2%
24.8%
Vermette
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
4
(13 meetings)
9
4
Vermette
Thornton
Last 10: Vermette 7-3 Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Vermette
Thornton
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Vermette
5
0
Vermette
Thornton
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Vermette
Thornton
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vermette
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (1,001)
51.8% (577)
+2.3%
Power Play
62.9% (256)
57.7% (168)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
54.3% (94)
37.5% (8)
+16.8%
On penalty kill, Vermette has a +16.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Vermette is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (860).
Vermette shoots left. Thornton is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (449).
Home / Away
Vermette
Thornton
Home
55.9% (690)
53.0% (379)
Away
55.7% (661)
52.9% (374)
By Period
Vermette
Thornton
P1
51.8%
53.3%
P2
55.0%
50.7%
P3
60.3%
54.3%
OT
60.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
56.6%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vermette
58.0%▼
62.0%
55.8%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2016 | 3 | 06:33 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Apr 9, 2016 | 2 | 08:25 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Apr 9, 2016 | 2 | 00:20 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 20, 2016 | 2 | 11:05 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Mar 17, 2016 | 1 | 01:14 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Feb 13, 2016 | 3 | 10:37 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Feb 13, 2016 | 3 | 03:35 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 13, 2016 | 3 | 00:23 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 13, 2016 | 2 | 08:21 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Feb 13, 2016 | 1 | 15:56 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Feb 13, 2016 | 1 | 07:07 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 13, 2016 | 1 | 02:59 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Jan 21, 2016 | 3 | 17:36 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |