Scouting Report
Antoine Vermette holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Vermette on offensive-zone draws (93% H2H, 15 meetings). Vermette wins 58.9% vs right-shot opponents — Ward shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vermette 57.1% vs Ward 48.4% (+8.8%)
H2H factor
Vermette leads 24-12 in 36 meetings
Offensive zone
Vermette 96.4%
Defensive zone
Vermette 89.9%
Neutral zone
Vermette 91.8%
Result
Antoine Vermette favored at 92.8%
92.8%
7.2%
Vermette
Ward
Head-to-Head Record
24
-
12
(36 meetings)
24
12
Vermette
Ward
Last 10: Vermette 5-5 Ward
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Vermette
14
1
Vermette
Ward
15 total
Defensive Zone
Even
9
9
Vermette
Ward
18 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ward
1
2
Vermette
Ward
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vermette
Ward
Edge
Even Strength
56.9% (7,621)
51.3% (1,186)
+5.6%
Power Play
59.8% (1,575)
53.4% (238)
+6.4%
Penalty Kill
55.1% (1,217)
35.5% (366)
+19.6%
On penalty kill, Vermette has a +19.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ward shoots right. Vermette is 58.9% vs right-shot opponents (3,782).
Vermette shoots left. Ward is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,320).
Home / Away
Vermette
Ward
Home
58.3% (5,008)
50.3% (870)
Away
56.1% (5,432)
46.5% (921)
By Period
Vermette
Ward
P1
56.9%
47.6%
P2
58.4%
47.5%
P3
56.2%
50.3%
OT
55.4%
30.8%
Final 5 min
56.8%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vermette
58.0%▼
62.0%
57.2%
Ward
44.0%▼
47.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2018 | 3 | 19:04 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Nov 20, 2017 | 2 | 07:11 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Nov 4, 2017 | 3 | 11:36 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Nov 4, 2017 | 3 | 09:56 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Nov 4, 2017 | 2 | 08:31 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Mar 18, 2017 | 3 | 13:22 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Mar 18, 2017 | 1 | 01:19 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Dec 27, 2016 | 3 | 16:50 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Dec 27, 2016 | 3 | 04:22 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Dec 27, 2016 | 2 | 19:46 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Dec 9, 2016 | 2 | 14:55 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Dec 9, 2016 | 1 | 12:01 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Dec 9, 2016 | 1 | 01:00 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Nov 26, 2016 | 3 | 12:22 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Nov 26, 2016 | 3 | 10:13 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Nov 26, 2016 | 3 | 02:41 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Nov 26, 2016 | 1 | 02:33 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Mar 20, 2016 | 3 | 03:29 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Mar 20, 2016 | 3 | 01:15 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Mar 20, 2016 | 2 | 02:55 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |