Scouting Report
Antoine Vermette holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Vermette on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 9 meetings). Vermette wins 55.4% vs right-shot opponents — Ward shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vermette 55.4% vs Ward 48.4% (+7.7%)
H2H factor
Vermette leads 10-3 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Vermette 95.0%
Defensive zone
Vermette 74.7%
Neutral zone
Vermette 86.5%
Result
Antoine Vermette favored at 91.5%
91.5%
8.5%
Vermette
Ward
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
3
(13 meetings)
10
3
Vermette
Ward
Last 10: Vermette 8-2 Ward
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Vermette
9
0
Vermette
Ward
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ward
0
1
Vermette
Ward
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ward
1
2
Vermette
Ward
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vermette
Ward
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (1,001)
49.3% (353)
+4.8%
Power Play
62.9% (256)
69.0% (42)
-6.1%
Penalty Kill
54.3% (94)
34.7% (98)
+19.6%
On penalty kill, Vermette has a +19.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ward shoots right. Vermette is 55.4% vs right-shot opponents (491).
Vermette shoots left. Ward is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (338).
Home / Away
Vermette
Ward
Home
55.9% (690)
48.4% (219)
Away
55.7% (661)
47.8% (274)
By Period
Vermette
Ward
P1
51.8%
43.0%
P2
55.0%
51.4%
P3
60.3%
50.0%
OT
60.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
56.6%
41.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vermette
58.0%▼
62.0%
55.8%
Ward
44.0%▼
47.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2016 | 3 | 03:29 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Mar 20, 2016 | 3 | 01:15 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Mar 20, 2016 | 2 | 02:55 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Mar 20, 2016 | 2 | 02:51 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Mar 20, 2016 | 1 | 15:29 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Mar 20, 2016 | 1 | 15:01 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Mar 17, 2016 | 3 | 17:33 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Mar 17, 2016 | 2 | 10:23 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Mar 17, 2016 | 1 | 10:09 | Neutral | Joel Ward |
| Feb 13, 2016 | 2 | 18:05 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Feb 13, 2016 | 2 | 00:10 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Feb 13, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joel Ward |
| Jan 21, 2016 | 2 | 07:11 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |