Scouting Report
Antoine Vermette holds a +13.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Vermette on defensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings). Vermette wins 64.0% vs right-shot opponents — Ward shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vermette 61.3% vs Ward 49.1% (+13.4%)
H2H factor
Vermette leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Vermette 92.3%
Defensive zone
Vermette 91.6%
Neutral zone
Vermette 89.8%
Result
Antoine Vermette favored at 91.7%
91.7%
8.3%
Vermette
Ward
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
3
(12 meetings)
9
3
Vermette
Ward
Last 10: Vermette 8-2 Ward
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Vermette
2
0
Vermette
Ward
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Vermette
7
3
Vermette
Ward
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vermette
Ward
Edge
Even Strength
62.4% (880)
52.8% (339)
+9.6%
Power Play
63.0% (135)
48.5% (33)
+14.5%
Penalty Kill
61.1% (180)
33.3% (84)
+27.8%
On penalty kill, Vermette has a +27.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ward shoots right. Vermette is 64.0% vs right-shot opponents (442).
Vermette shoots left. Ward is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Home / Away
Vermette
Ward
Home
63.4% (585)
53.4% (251)
Away
61.1% (610)
43.4% (205)
By Period
Vermette
Ward
P1
62.5%
49.4%
P2
63.4%
46.9%
P3
60.9%
50.3%
Final 5 min
61.9%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vermette
58.0%▼
62.0%
62.3%
Ward
44.0%▼
47.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2017 | 3 | 13:22 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Mar 18, 2017 | 1 | 01:19 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Dec 27, 2016 | 3 | 16:50 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Dec 27, 2016 | 3 | 04:22 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Dec 27, 2016 | 2 | 19:46 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Dec 9, 2016 | 2 | 14:55 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Dec 9, 2016 | 1 | 12:01 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Dec 9, 2016 | 1 | 01:00 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Nov 26, 2016 | 3 | 12:22 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Nov 26, 2016 | 3 | 10:13 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Nov 26, 2016 | 3 | 02:41 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Nov 26, 2016 | 1 | 02:33 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |