Scouting Report
Antoine Vermette holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Vermette on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Vermette wins 56.0% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vermette 55.4% vs Tavares 53.8% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 56.3%
Defensive zone
Vermette 78.5%
Neutral zone
Vermette 62.7%
Result
Antoine Vermette favored at 59.5%
59.5%
40.5%
Vermette
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Vermette
Tavares
Last 9: Vermette 6-3 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Vermette
3
1
Vermette
Tavares
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Vermette
3
0
Vermette
Tavares
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
2
Vermette
Tavares
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vermette
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (1,001)
54.0% (1,077)
+0.1%
Power Play
62.9% (256)
54.5% (275)
+8.4%
Penalty Kill
54.3% (94)
50.0% (18)
+4.3%
On power play, Vermette has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Vermette is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (860).
Vermette shoots left. Tavares is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (894).
Home / Away
Vermette
Tavares
Home
55.9% (690)
56.8% (655)
Away
55.7% (661)
51.6% (715)
By Period
Vermette
Tavares
P1
51.8%
54.1%
P2
55.0%
53.9%
P3
60.3%
54.3%
OT
60.0%
54.2%
Final 5 min
56.6%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vermette
58.0%▼
62.0%
55.8%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2015 | 3 | 19:58 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 3 | 19:53 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 2 | 09:23 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 2 | 09:15 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Nov 16, 2015 | 3 | 18:05 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Nov 16, 2015 | 3 | 15:45 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 16, 2015 | 3 | 09:58 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Nov 16, 2015 | 3 | 02:53 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Nov 16, 2015 | 1 | 18:03 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |