Scouting Report
Antoine Vermette holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Vermette on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Vermette wins 60.0% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vermette 59.1% vs Tavares 52.7% (+7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Vermette 72.6%
Defensive zone
Vermette 94.4%
Neutral zone
Vermette 87.4%
Result
Antoine Vermette favored at 89.9%
89.9%
10.1%
Vermette
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
1
(8 meetings)
7
1
Vermette
Tavares
Last 8: Vermette 7-1 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
1
Vermette
Tavares
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Vermette
5
0
Vermette
Tavares
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Vermette
2
0
Vermette
Tavares
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vermette
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
60.5% (767)
52.9% (1,239)
+7.6%
Power Play
61.9% (84)
54.7% (309)
+7.2%
Penalty Kill
56.7% (164)
50.0% (178)
+6.7%
On even strength, Vermette has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Vermette is 60.0% vs left-shot opponents (615).
Vermette shoots left. Tavares is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,124).
Home / Away
Vermette
Tavares
Home
63.0% (481)
55.0% (864)
Away
57.3% (534)
50.8% (862)
By Period
Vermette
Tavares
P1
61.6%
51.8%
P2
60.4%
51.4%
P3
58.9%
54.5%
OT
46.2%
66.7%
Final 5 min
63.1%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vermette
58.0%▼
62.0%
60.0%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2017 | 2 | 01:22 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Dec 21, 2017 | 2 | 01:15 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Dec 21, 2017 | 1 | 13:48 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 21, 2017 | 1 | 12:39 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Dec 21, 2017 | 1 | 09:21 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Oct 11, 2017 | 3 | 18:36 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Oct 11, 2017 | 3 | 08:33 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Oct 11, 2017 | 2 | 09:58 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |