Scouting Report
Antoine Vermette holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Vermette on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Vermette wins 60.0% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vermette 59.1% vs Staal 56.1% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Vermette 50.3%
Defensive zone
Vermette 66.5%
Neutral zone
Vermette 54.7%
Result
Antoine Vermette favored at 56.2%
56.2%
43.8%
Vermette
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Vermette
Staal
Last 5: Vermette 3-2 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Vermette
Staal
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Vermette
1
0
Vermette
Staal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Vermette
2
1
Vermette
Staal
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vermette
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
60.5% (767)
55.9% (1,016)
+4.6%
Power Play
61.9% (84)
68.0% (150)
-6.1%
Penalty Kill
56.7% (164)
50.6% (172)
+6.1%
On power play, Staal has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Vermette is 60.0% vs left-shot opponents (615).
Vermette shoots left. Staal is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (882).
Home / Away
Vermette
Staal
Home
63.0% (481)
57.2% (684)
Away
57.3% (534)
56.0% (654)
By Period
Vermette
Staal
P1
61.6%
53.0%
P2
60.4%
58.2%
P3
58.9%
58.9%
OT
46.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
63.1%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vermette
58.0%▼
62.0%
60.0%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2017 | OT | 03:03 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 29, 2017 | 2 | 18:41 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Oct 29, 2017 | 2 | 18:33 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 29, 2017 | 2 | 13:16 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Oct 29, 2017 | 1 | 03:03 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |