Scouting Report
Antoine Vermette holds a +16.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Vermette on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Vermette wins 58.9% vs right-shot opponents — Brown shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vermette 57.1% vs Brown 43.0% (+16.9%)
H2H factor
Vermette leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Vermette 90.1%
Defensive zone
Vermette 94.0%
Neutral zone
Vermette 92.3%
Result
Antoine Vermette favored at 92.1%
92.1%
7.9%
Vermette
Brown
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Vermette
Brown
Last 10: Vermette 7-3 Brown
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Vermette
2
1
Vermette
Brown
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Vermette
2
1
Vermette
Brown
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Vermette
3
1
Vermette
Brown
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vermette
Brown
Edge
Even Strength
56.9% (7,621)
39.7% (237)
+17.2%
Power Play
59.8% (1,575)
57.1% (7)
+2.7%
Penalty Kill
55.1% (1,217)
42.9% (14)
+12.2%
On even strength, Vermette has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brown shoots right. Vermette is 58.9% vs right-shot opponents (3,782).
Vermette shoots left. Brown is 41.4% vs left-shot opponents (191).
Home / Away
Vermette
Brown
Home
58.3% (5,008)
41.2% (148)
Away
56.1% (5,432)
39.1% (110)
By Period
Vermette
Brown
P1
56.9%
36.6%
P2
58.4%
43.0%
P3
56.2%
41.2%
OT
55.4%
0.0%
Final 5 min
56.8%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vermette
58.0%▼
62.0%
57.2%
Brown
34.0%▼
39.0%
40.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2017 | 3 | 13:36 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 3 | 19:56 | Offensive | JT Brown |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 3 | 14:30 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 3 | 08:59 | Neutral | JT Brown |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 2 | 16:55 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 2 | 11:32 | Defensive | JT Brown |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 1 | 16:46 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 1 | 08:26 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 1 | 00:31 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |