Scouting Report
Antoine Vermette holds a +19.0% FO% edge overall. Vermette wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vermette 55.0% vs Hayes 38.0% (+19.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Vermette 86.0%
Defensive zone
Vermette 94.2%
Neutral zone
Vermette 94.7%
Result
Antoine Vermette favored at 92.7%
92.7%
7.3%
Vermette
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Vermette
Hayes
Last 5: Vermette 4-1 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Vermette
1
0
Vermette
Hayes
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Vermette
Hayes
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Vermette
2
0
Vermette
Hayes
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vermette
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (1,139)
37.1% (642)
+17.6%
Power Play
60.2% (251)
32.1% (28)
+28.1%
Penalty Kill
52.4% (187)
0.0% (11)
+52.4%
On penalty kill, Vermette has a +52.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Vermette is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (934).
Vermette shoots left. Hayes is 38.2% vs left-shot opponents (419).
Home / Away
Vermette
Hayes
Home
56.8% (694)
36.7% (354)
Away
54.1% (883)
35.8% (327)
By Period
Vermette
Hayes
P1
52.5%
33.6%
P2
56.8%
38.3%
P3
56.7%
37.0%
Final 5 min
56.5%
39.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vermette
58.0%▼
62.0%
55.3%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
36.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2015 | 2 | 19:48 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Feb 26, 2015 | 2 | 19:41 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Feb 26, 2015 | 1 | 17:54 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Feb 26, 2015 | 1 | 07:11 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 14, 2015 | 2 | 04:04 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |