Scouting Report
Antoine Vermette holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Vermette on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Vermette wins 60.0% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vermette 59.1% vs Hayes 50.5% (+9.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Vermette 93.1%
Defensive zone
Vermette 84.1%
Neutral zone
Vermette 93.0%
Result
Antoine Vermette favored at 91.6%
91.6%
8.4%
Vermette
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Vermette
Hayes
Last 6: Vermette 5-1 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Vermette
4
0
Vermette
Hayes
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
1
Vermette
Hayes
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Vermette
1
0
Vermette
Hayes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vermette
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
60.5% (767)
50.4% (850)
+10.1%
Power Play
61.9% (84)
56.4% (39)
+5.5%
Penalty Kill
56.7% (164)
50.2% (223)
+6.5%
On even strength, Vermette has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Vermette is 60.0% vs left-shot opponents (615).
Vermette shoots left. Hayes is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (703).
Home / Away
Vermette
Hayes
Home
63.0% (481)
50.0% (586)
Away
57.3% (534)
51.1% (526)
By Period
Vermette
Hayes
P1
61.6%
52.3%
P2
60.4%
52.3%
P3
58.9%
47.3%
OT
46.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
63.1%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vermette
58.0%▼
62.0%
60.0%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2017 | 3 | 09:24 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Dec 19, 2017 | 2 | 19:23 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Dec 19, 2017 | 2 | 13:27 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 19, 2017 | 2 | 07:54 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Dec 19, 2017 | 1 | 19:14 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Dec 19, 2017 | 1 | 15:25 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |