Scouting Report
Antoine Vermette holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Erat on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Vermette wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Erat shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vermette 56.0% vs Erat 48.7% (+9.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Erat 80.3%
Defensive zone
Vermette 64.2%
Neutral zone
Erat 59.8%
Result
Martin Erat favored at 71.4%
28.6%
71.4%
Vermette
Erat
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Vermette
Erat
Last 5: Vermette 2-3 Erat
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Erat
1
3
Vermette
Erat
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Vermette
1
0
Vermette
Erat
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vermette
Erat
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (857)
46.3% (80)
+11.2%
Power Play
57.6% (177)
51.2% (41)
+6.4%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (95)
40.0% (5)
+3.2%
On even strength, Vermette has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Erat shoots left. Vermette is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (793).
Vermette shoots left. Erat is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (74).
Home / Away
Vermette
Erat
Home
58.7% (547)
60.9% (64)
Away
54.6% (593)
33.9% (62)
By Period
Vermette
Erat
P1
58.6%
41.9%
P2
58.7%
47.2%
P3
52.7%
54.3%
OT
57.1%
0.0%
Final 5 min
53.5%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vermette
58.0%▼
62.0%
56.6%
Erat
38.0%▼
43.5%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2012 | 3 | 15:52 | Offensive | Martin Erat |
| Jan 23, 2012 | 3 | 08:06 | Offensive | Martin Erat |
| Jan 23, 2012 | 1 | 07:38 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Jan 19, 2012 | 2 | 19:52 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Oct 7, 2011 | 1 | 19:34 | Offensive | Martin Erat |