Scouting Report
Antoine Vermette holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Cullen on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Vermette wins 55.8% vs left-shot opponents — Cullen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vermette 56.7% vs Cullen 53.8% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cullen 67.2%
Defensive zone
Cullen 64.7%
Neutral zone
Cullen 64.8%
Result
Matt Cullen favored at 65.6%
34.4%
65.6%
Vermette
Cullen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Vermette
Cullen
Last 9: Vermette 2-7 Cullen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cullen
0
3
Vermette
Cullen
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cullen
1
4
Vermette
Cullen
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Vermette
1
0
Vermette
Cullen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vermette
Cullen
Edge
Even Strength
55.0% (624)
56.3% (368)
-1.3%
Power Play
68.4% (133)
43.8% (48)
+24.6%
Penalty Kill
58.5% (82)
53.1% (32)
+5.4%
On power play, Vermette has a +24.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cullen shoots left. Vermette is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (545).
Vermette shoots left. Cullen is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (320).
Home / Away
Vermette
Cullen
Home
58.8% (420)
55.7% (194)
Away
56.1% (419)
53.9% (254)
By Period
Vermette
Cullen
P1
59.9%
60.3%
P2
56.4%
53.4%
P3
56.6%
50.0%
OT
52.4%
66.7%
Final 5 min
60.9%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vermette
58.0%▼
62.0%
57.4%
Cullen
58.0%▲
53.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2013 | 3 | 10:42 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 27, 2013 | 3 | 07:41 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 27, 2013 | 2 | 13:41 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 27, 2013 | 1 | 11:46 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Feb 28, 2013 | 3 | 18:26 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Feb 28, 2013 | 3 | 18:12 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Feb 28, 2013 | 3 | 05:23 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Feb 28, 2013 | 2 | 09:50 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Feb 28, 2013 | 1 | 01:14 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |