Scouting Report
Antoine Vermette holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Vermette wins 55.8% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vermette 56.7% vs Koivu 53.6% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Koivu leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Koivu 68.2%
Defensive zone
Koivu 68.1%
Neutral zone
Koivu 66.6%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 68.0%
32.0%
68.0%
Vermette
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Vermette
Koivu
Last 10: Vermette 3-7 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
3
4
Vermette
Koivu
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
3
Vermette
Koivu
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
1
Vermette
Koivu
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vermette
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
55.0% (624)
53.6% (739)
+1.4%
Power Play
68.4% (133)
56.2% (137)
+12.2%
Penalty Kill
58.5% (82)
53.7% (95)
+4.8%
On power play, Vermette has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Vermette is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (545).
Vermette shoots left. Koivu is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (701).
Home / Away
Vermette
Koivu
Home
58.8% (420)
56.0% (495)
Away
56.1% (419)
51.9% (476)
By Period
Vermette
Koivu
P1
59.9%
54.9%
P2
56.4%
53.5%
P3
56.6%
53.6%
OT
52.4%
52.9%
Final 5 min
60.9%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vermette
58.0%▼
62.0%
57.4%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2013 | OT | 00:18 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 27, 2013 | 3 | 16:04 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 27, 2013 | 3 | 13:01 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Mar 27, 2013 | 3 | 11:15 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 27, 2013 | 3 | 02:38 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 28, 2013 | 3 | 03:05 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 28, 2013 | 2 | 03:30 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Feb 28, 2013 | 2 | 00:17 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Feb 28, 2013 | 1 | 03:36 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 4, 2013 | 3 | 08:49 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 4, 2013 | 3 | 03:48 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 4, 2013 | 1 | 05:30 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |