Antoine Vermette vs Nathan MacKinnon
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Antoine Vermette holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Vermette on offensive-zone draws (68% H2H, 19 meetings). Vermette wins 58.9% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vermette 57.1% vs MacKinnon 46.8% (+10.4%)
H2H factor
Vermette leads 29-16 in 45 meetings
Offensive zone
Vermette 87.9%
Defensive zone
Vermette 95.3%
Neutral zone
Vermette 95.0%
Result
Antoine Vermette favored at 92.1%
92.1%
7.9%
Vermette
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
29
-
16
(45 meetings)
29
16
Vermette
MacKinnon
Last 10: Vermette 7-3 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Vermette
13
6
Vermette
MacKinnon
19 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Vermette
6
3
Vermette
MacKinnon
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Vermette
10
7
Vermette
MacKinnon
17 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vermette
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
56.9% (7,621)
46.1% (11,218)
+10.8%
Power Play
59.8% (1,575)
53.3% (1,412)
+6.5%
Penalty Kill
55.1% (1,217)
42.8% (502)
+12.3%
On penalty kill, Vermette has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Vermette is 58.9% vs right-shot opponents (3,782).
Vermette shoots left. MacKinnon is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (9,490).
Home / Away
Vermette
MacKinnon
Home
58.3% (5,008)
49.7% (6,444)
Away
56.1% (5,432)
44.0% (6,689)
By Period
Vermette
MacKinnon
P1
56.9%
47.4%
P2
58.4%
46.6%
P3
56.2%
46.1%
OT
55.4%
48.4%
Final 5 min
56.8%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vermette
58.0%▼
62.0%
57.2%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2018 | 3 | 19:12 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Jan 15, 2018 | 3 | 12:52 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Jan 15, 2018 | 1 | 09:35 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Oct 13, 2017 | 1 | 06:26 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 13, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 19, 2017 | 3 | 15:05 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Jan 19, 2017 | 3 | 06:56 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Jan 19, 2017 | 1 | 16:00 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Jan 12, 2017 | 3 | 14:52 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 12, 2017 | 3 | 10:11 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Jan 12, 2017 | 2 | 19:46 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Jan 12, 2017 | 2 | 10:41 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Mar 7, 2016 | 3 | 10:31 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Mar 7, 2016 | 3 | 07:28 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 7, 2016 | 3 | 04:23 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Mar 7, 2016 | 3 | 04:19 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Mar 7, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Mar 7, 2016 | 1 | 04:41 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Mar 7, 2016 | 1 | 02:29 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Mar 7, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |