Antoine Vermette vs Nathan MacKinnon
2016-17 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Antoine Vermette holds a +11.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Vermette on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Vermette wins 64.0% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vermette 61.3% vs MacKinnon 50.5% (+11.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Vermette 86.9%
Defensive zone
Vermette 89.6%
Neutral zone
Vermette 89.3%
Result
Antoine Vermette favored at 88.1%
88.1%
11.9%
Vermette
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Vermette
MacKinnon
Last 7: Vermette 6-1 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Vermette
4
0
Vermette
MacKinnon
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Vermette
2
1
Vermette
MacKinnon
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vermette
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
62.4% (880)
49.3% (1,167)
+13.1%
Power Play
63.0% (135)
61.0% (187)
+2.0%
Penalty Kill
61.1% (180)
47.9% (167)
+13.2%
On penalty kill, Vermette has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Vermette is 64.0% vs right-shot opponents (442).
Vermette shoots left. MacKinnon is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,029).
Home / Away
Vermette
MacKinnon
Home
63.4% (585)
57.7% (728)
Away
61.1% (610)
44.0% (793)
By Period
Vermette
MacKinnon
P1
62.5%
50.1%
P2
63.4%
52.5%
P3
60.9%
49.3%
OT
50.0%
43.8%
Final 5 min
61.9%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vermette
58.0%▼
62.0%
62.3%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2017 | 3 | 15:05 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Jan 19, 2017 | 3 | 06:56 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Jan 19, 2017 | 1 | 16:00 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Jan 12, 2017 | 3 | 14:52 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 12, 2017 | 3 | 10:11 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Jan 12, 2017 | 2 | 19:46 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Jan 12, 2017 | 2 | 10:41 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |