Scouting Report
Antoine Vermette holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Spaling on defensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Vermette wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Spaling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vermette 55.2% vs Spaling 50.8% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Spaling leads 12-7 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Spaling 51.4%
Defensive zone
Spaling 83.7%
Neutral zone
Spaling 68.4%
Result
Nick Spaling favored at 72.1%
27.9%
72.1%
Vermette
Spaling
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
12
(19 meetings)
7
12
Vermette
Spaling
Last 10: Vermette 4-6 Spaling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Vermette
3
1
Vermette
Spaling
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spaling
2
7
Vermette
Spaling
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spaling
2
4
Vermette
Spaling
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vermette
Spaling
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (1,107)
51.6% (353)
+4.0%
Power Play
55.4% (278)
50.0% (8)
+5.4%
Penalty Kill
55.4% (139)
49.3% (136)
+6.1%
On penalty kill, Vermette has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spaling shoots left. Vermette is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,058).
Vermette shoots left. Spaling is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (331).
Home / Away
Vermette
Spaling
Home
55.8% (749)
49.2% (260)
Away
55.4% (791)
52.7% (237)
By Period
Vermette
Spaling
P1
54.9%
55.2%
P2
59.2%
49.7%
P3
52.5%
47.7%
OT
55.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
53.5%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vermette
58.0%▼
62.0%
55.6%
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2011 | 3 | 02:07 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Feb 27, 2011 | 2 | 12:35 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Feb 27, 2011 | 1 | 06:45 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Feb 22, 2011 | 3 | 18:32 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Feb 22, 2011 | 2 | 19:19 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Feb 22, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Feb 22, 2011 | 1 | 07:06 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Feb 22, 2011 | 1 | 06:00 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Jan 2, 2011 | 1 | 16:58 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Jan 2, 2011 | 1 | 11:41 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Dec 1, 2010 | OT | 02:40 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Dec 1, 2010 | 3 | 18:17 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Dec 1, 2010 | 3 | 12:19 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Dec 1, 2010 | 2 | 17:33 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Dec 1, 2010 | 1 | 17:02 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Dec 1, 2010 | 1 | 11:59 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Nov 22, 2010 | 3 | 01:24 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Nov 22, 2010 | 2 | 05:32 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Nov 22, 2010 | 2 | 01:03 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |