Scouting Report
Antoine Vermette holds a +11.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Spaling on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Vermette wins 55.8% vs left-shot opponents — Spaling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vermette 56.7% vs Spaling 46.9% (+11.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Vermette 51.9%
Defensive zone
Spaling 55.4%
Neutral zone
Spaling 56.2%
Result
Nick Spaling favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Vermette
Spaling
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Vermette
Spaling
Last 5: Vermette 2-3 Spaling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spaling
1
2
Vermette
Spaling
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Vermette
Spaling
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vermette
Spaling
Edge
Even Strength
55.0% (624)
48.4% (419)
+6.6%
Power Play
68.4% (133)
30.0% (10)
+38.4%
Penalty Kill
58.5% (82)
32.1% (53)
+26.4%
On power play, Vermette has a +38.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spaling shoots left. Vermette is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (545).
Vermette shoots left. Spaling is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (354).
Home / Away
Vermette
Spaling
Home
58.8% (420)
52.2% (251)
Away
56.1% (419)
39.8% (231)
By Period
Vermette
Spaling
P1
59.9%
40.6%
P2
56.4%
43.9%
P3
56.6%
54.3%
OT
52.4%
33.3%
Final 5 min
60.9%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vermette
58.0%▼
62.0%
57.4%
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2013 | 3 | 13:21 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 1 | 13:58 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 1 | 11:18 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 1 | 05:35 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Feb 14, 2013 | 1 | 07:55 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |