Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.6% vs 57.3%). Look for Gaustad on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Vermette wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Gaustad shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vermette 56.0% vs Gaustad 56.7% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Gaustad leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Vermette 72.7%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 75.0%
Neutral zone
Gaustad 57.6%
Result
Paul Gaustad favored at 56.2%
43.8%
56.2%
Vermette
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
9
(12 meetings)
3
9
Vermette
Gaustad
Last 10: Vermette 3-7 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Vermette
Gaustad
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
6
Vermette
Gaustad
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Vermette
Gaustad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vermette
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (857)
57.8% (854)
-0.3%
Power Play
57.6% (177)
56.0% (25)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (95)
55.1% (263)
-11.9%
On penalty kill, Gaustad has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Vermette is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (793).
Vermette shoots left. Gaustad is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (734).
Home / Away
Vermette
Gaustad
Home
58.7% (547)
61.3% (633)
Away
54.6% (593)
52.4% (517)
By Period
Vermette
Gaustad
P1
58.6%
57.9%
P2
58.7%
55.3%
P3
52.7%
58.3%
OT
57.1%
64.3%
Final 5 min
53.5%
57.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vermette
58.0%▼
62.0%
56.6%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2012 | 3 | 19:52 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 12, 2012 | 3 | 15:46 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 12, 2012 | 3 | 03:53 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 12, 2012 | 2 | 16:43 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Mar 12, 2012 | 1 | 06:21 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 27, 2011 | 3 | 19:02 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Oct 27, 2011 | 3 | 17:36 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 27, 2011 | 2 | 18:19 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 27, 2011 | 2 | 11:01 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Oct 27, 2011 | 1 | 19:54 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 27, 2011 | 1 | 16:32 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 27, 2011 | 1 | 09:04 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |