Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Vermette on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Vermette wins 55.8% vs left-shot opponents — Gaustad shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vermette 56.7% vs Gaustad 57.9% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Vermette leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Vermette 80.3%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 77.2%
Neutral zone
Gaustad 50.5%
Result
Paul Gaustad favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Vermette
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Vermette
Gaustad
Last 10: Vermette 6-4 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Vermette
4
0
Vermette
Gaustad
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
2
3
Vermette
Gaustad
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
1
Vermette
Gaustad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vermette
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
55.0% (624)
59.8% (353)
-4.8%
Power Play
68.4% (133)
66.7% (15)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
58.5% (82)
58.0% (81)
+0.5%
On even strength, Gaustad has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Vermette is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (545).
Vermette shoots left. Gaustad is 61.2% vs left-shot opponents (309).
Home / Away
Vermette
Gaustad
Home
58.8% (420)
62.1% (195)
Away
56.1% (419)
57.9% (254)
By Period
Vermette
Gaustad
P1
59.9%
59.4%
P2
56.4%
58.1%
P3
56.6%
61.3%
OT
52.4%
66.7%
Final 5 min
60.9%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vermette
58.0%▼
62.0%
57.4%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
59.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2013 | 3 | 16:07 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Feb 14, 2013 | 3 | 10:33 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Feb 14, 2013 | 3 | 06:58 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 14, 2013 | 1 | 08:00 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 28, 2013 | 3 | 08:08 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Jan 28, 2013 | 2 | 11:03 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Jan 28, 2013 | 2 | 06:28 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 28, 2013 | 1 | 18:54 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Jan 28, 2013 | 1 | 16:39 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Jan 28, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |