Scouting Report
Antoine Vermette holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Vermette wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vermette 56.0% vs Stastny 55.1% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 65.4%
Defensive zone
Stastny 65.1%
Neutral zone
Stastny 62.5%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 64.2%
35.8%
64.2%
Vermette
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Vermette
Stastny
Last 5: Vermette 1-4 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Vermette
1
0
Vermette
Stastny
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
2
Vermette
Stastny
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
2
Vermette
Stastny
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vermette
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (857)
55.0% (1,136)
+2.5%
Power Play
57.6% (177)
57.5% (200)
+0.1%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (95)
53.1% (64)
-9.9%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Vermette is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (793).
Vermette shoots left. Stastny is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (968).
Home / Away
Vermette
Stastny
Home
58.7% (547)
58.5% (744)
Away
54.6% (593)
52.1% (680)
By Period
Vermette
Stastny
P1
58.6%
57.9%
P2
58.7%
54.9%
P3
52.7%
53.0%
OT
57.1%
72.0%
Final 5 min
53.5%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vermette
58.0%▼
62.0%
56.6%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2012 | 2 | 19:28 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 22, 2012 | 1 | 14:38 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 12, 2011 | OT | 04:19 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Oct 12, 2011 | 3 | 14:02 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 12, 2011 | 1 | 01:43 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |