Scouting Report
Antoine Vermette holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Vermette on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Vermette wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vermette 56.0% vs Stastny 53.8% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Vermette leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Vermette 57.4%
Defensive zone
Vermette 74.0%
Neutral zone
Vermette 61.7%
Result
Antoine Vermette favored at 68.5%
68.5%
31.5%
Vermette
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
Vermette
Stastny
Last 10: Vermette 6-4 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
1
Vermette
Stastny
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Vermette
6
1
Vermette
Stastny
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Vermette
Stastny
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vermette
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
56.7% (1,246)
53.2% (995)
+3.5%
Power Play
55.9% (261)
57.6% (158)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
55.4% (276)
61.4% (57)
-6.0%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Vermette is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,100).
Vermette shoots left. Stastny is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (738).
Home / Away
Vermette
Stastny
Home
56.8% (842)
55.1% (586)
Away
56.0% (941)
53.2% (624)
By Period
Vermette
Stastny
P1
58.0%
54.7%
P2
57.9%
53.1%
P3
53.5%
54.2%
OT
58.7%
60.0%
Final 5 min
53.6%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vermette
58.0%▼
62.0%
56.4%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2014 | 2 | 15:07 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 28, 2014 | 2 | 11:34 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Feb 28, 2014 | 1 | 04:39 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 10, 2013 | 2 | 19:40 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Dec 10, 2013 | 2 | 15:33 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 21, 2013 | OT | 02:50 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 21, 2013 | 3 | 15:09 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Nov 21, 2013 | 3 | 12:49 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Nov 21, 2013 | 2 | 17:49 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Nov 21, 2013 | 2 | 11:26 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Nov 21, 2013 | 1 | 12:52 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Nov 21, 2013 | 1 | 09:40 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |