Scouting Report
Antoine Vermette holds a +22.0% FO% edge overall. Vermette wins 61.2% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vermette 61.3% vs Zacha 42.0% (+22.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 62.0%
Defensive zone
Vermette 71.7%
Neutral zone
Zacha 56.4%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Vermette
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Vermette
Zacha
Last 5: Vermette 2-3 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
1
Vermette
Zacha
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Vermette
Zacha
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vermette
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
62.4% (880)
40.9% (399)
+21.5%
Power Play
63.0% (135)
39.5% (43)
+23.5%
Penalty Kill
61.1% (180)
26.7% (15)
+34.4%
On penalty kill, Vermette has a +34.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Vermette is 61.2% vs left-shot opponents (753).
Vermette shoots left. Zacha is 38.6% vs left-shot opponents (295).
Home / Away
Vermette
Zacha
Home
63.4% (585)
41.4% (261)
Away
61.1% (610)
38.8% (196)
By Period
Vermette
Zacha
P1
62.5%
38.6%
P2
63.4%
44.4%
P3
60.9%
36.9%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
61.9%
38.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vermette
58.0%▼
62.0%
62.3%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
40.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2016 | 3 | 16:27 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 2 | 09:54 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 2 | 01:32 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 1 | 09:03 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 1 | 01:18 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |