Scouting Report
Antoine Vermette holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Nash on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Vermette wins 58.9% vs right-shot opponents — Nash shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vermette 57.1% vs Nash 48.5% (+8.7%)
H2H factor
Nash leads 13-12 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Vermette 53.7%
Defensive zone
Nash 60.5%
Neutral zone
Nash 62.4%
Result
Riley Nash favored at 54.9%
45.1%
54.9%
Vermette
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
13
(25 meetings)
12
13
Vermette
Nash
Last 10: Vermette 6-4 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Vermette
6
5
Vermette
Nash
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nash
1
4
Vermette
Nash
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Vermette
5
4
Vermette
Nash
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vermette
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
56.9% (7,621)
48.7% (4,621)
+8.2%
Power Play
59.8% (1,575)
51.0% (249)
+8.8%
Penalty Kill
55.1% (1,217)
44.9% (550)
+10.2%
On penalty kill, Vermette has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Vermette is 58.9% vs right-shot opponents (3,782).
Vermette shoots left. Nash is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,747).
Home / Away
Vermette
Nash
Home
58.3% (5,008)
50.2% (2,740)
Away
56.1% (5,432)
46.7% (2,681)
By Period
Vermette
Nash
P1
56.9%
49.0%
P2
58.4%
47.9%
P3
56.2%
48.0%
OT
55.4%
68.4%
Final 5 min
56.8%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vermette
58.0%▼
62.0%
57.2%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2018 | 2 | 10:55 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Jan 30, 2018 | 2 | 05:38 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Nov 15, 2017 | 3 | 01:13 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Nov 15, 2017 | 2 | 19:13 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Nov 15, 2017 | 2 | 08:38 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Nov 15, 2017 | 2 | 01:04 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Nov 15, 2017 | 1 | 18:37 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Nov 15, 2017 | 1 | 15:18 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Dec 15, 2016 | 1 | 05:01 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Mar 23, 2015 | 3 | 19:20 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Mar 23, 2015 | 3 | 13:16 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Mar 23, 2015 | 1 | 07:48 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Mar 2, 2015 | 2 | 05:41 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Mar 2, 2015 | 1 | 08:12 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Mar 2, 2015 | 1 | 08:07 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Mar 2, 2015 | 1 | 04:09 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Nov 1, 2014 | 3 | 18:49 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Nov 1, 2014 | 3 | 16:35 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Nov 1, 2014 | 3 | 16:28 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Nov 1, 2014 | 2 | 14:24 | Defensive | Riley Nash |