Scouting Report
Antoine Vermette holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Nash on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Vermette wins 58.6% vs right-shot opponents — Nash shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vermette 56.0% vs Nash 46.5% (+10.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nash 86.1%
Defensive zone
Nash 69.6%
Neutral zone
Nash 81.3%
Result
Riley Nash favored at 83.2%
16.8%
83.2%
Vermette
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Vermette
Nash
Last 5: Vermette 1-4 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nash
0
2
Vermette
Nash
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nash
1
2
Vermette
Nash
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vermette
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
56.7% (1,246)
46.0% (615)
+10.7%
Power Play
55.9% (261)
58.6% (29)
-2.7%
Penalty Kill
55.4% (276)
27.3% (22)
+28.1%
On penalty kill, Vermette has a +28.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Vermette is 58.6% vs right-shot opponents (683).
Vermette shoots left. Nash is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (451).
Home / Away
Vermette
Nash
Home
56.8% (842)
54.1% (320)
Away
56.0% (941)
38.4% (346)
By Period
Vermette
Nash
P1
58.0%
44.8%
P2
57.9%
47.5%
P3
53.5%
44.9%
OT
58.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
53.6%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vermette
58.0%▼
62.0%
56.4%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2013 | 1 | 01:30 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Oct 13, 2013 | 3 | 15:10 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Oct 13, 2013 | 3 | 12:57 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Oct 13, 2013 | 2 | 01:00 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Oct 13, 2013 | 1 | 18:37 | Offensive | Riley Nash |