Scouting Report
Antoine Vermette holds a +12.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Horak on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Vermette wins 55.8% vs left-shot opponents — Horak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vermette 56.7% vs Horak 46.9% (+12.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Vermette 79.2%
Defensive zone
Vermette 54.1%
Neutral zone
Vermette 72.9%
Result
Antoine Vermette favored at 61.6%
61.6%
38.4%
Vermette
Horak
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Vermette
Horak
Last 5: Vermette 3-2 Horak
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horak
1
2
Vermette
Horak
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Vermette
2
0
Vermette
Horak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vermette
Horak
Edge
Even Strength
55.0% (624)
44.4% (189)
+10.6%
Power Play
68.4% (133)
45.5% (11)
+22.9%
Penalty Kill
58.5% (82)
80.0% (5)
-21.5%
On power play, Vermette has a +22.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horak shoots left. Vermette is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (545).
Vermette shoots left. Horak is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (135).
Home / Away
Vermette
Horak
Home
58.8% (420)
49.5% (93)
Away
56.1% (419)
42.0% (112)
By Period
Vermette
Horak
P1
59.9%
41.7%
P2
56.4%
51.5%
P3
56.6%
44.6%
OT
52.4%
0.0%
Final 5 min
60.9%
43.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vermette
58.0%▼
62.0%
57.4%
Horak
38.0%▼
46.0%
45.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2013 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Apr 12, 2013 | 3 | 16:13 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Apr 12, 2013 | 1 | 00:48 | Defensive | Roman Horak |
| Feb 18, 2013 | 2 | 13:15 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Feb 18, 2013 | 2 | 01:21 | Defensive | Roman Horak |